Copa Libertadores . Last 16
Global 1-5
Defensa y Justicia vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
68.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2021 |
DYJ
1 - 1
IVT
41%
24%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
PAL
3 - 4
DYJ
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
DYJ
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
ATT
5 - 0
DYJ
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
DYJ
1 - 2
PAL
25%
27%
48%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
FLA
2 - 1
CHA
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
ATM
2 - 1
FLA
29%
23%
47%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
FLA
0 - 1
FLU
74%
16%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
CUI
0 - 2
FLA
10%
17%
73%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 0
FLA
8%
16%
76%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |