Defence Force vs W Connection analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
ATH
0 - 1
DEF
35%
28%
38%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
CUN
2 - 3
DEF
36%
28%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 1
LHR
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
DEF
4 - 1
NOR
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
POI
1 - 2
DEF
22%
24%
54%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
CON
3 - 1
LHR
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
CEN
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 1
CON
27%
27%
47%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CON
4 - 0
NOR
73%
18%
10%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
CON
22%
24%
54%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |