Def. Belgrano vs Temperley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
56.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
DEF
2 - 0
FER
24%
29%
47%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BRO
1 - 1
DEF
70%
20%
10%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 0
SAR
13%
25%
62%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 2
DEF
70%
21%
9%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 1
IRV
17%
29%
55%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Temperley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
TEM
2 - 0
IRV
48%
28%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 3
TEM
36%
29%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
TEM
0 - 0
CHA
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TEM
1 - 1
CEN
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MIT
2 - 1
TEM
28%
29%
43%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |