Def. Belgrano vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
42.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 2
DEF
62%
24%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 1
ALM
24%
28%
48%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
DAL
2 - 1
DEF
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 3
DEF
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
DEF
3 - 0
PLA
24%
30%
46%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 1
ACA
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
FLA
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
MOR
62%
24%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
UAI
0 - 1
CHI
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 0
EST
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |