Def. Belgrano vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
25.1%
62.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
19.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.6%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 3
DEF
77%
17%
7%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
RIE
45%
27%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
DEF
3 - 0
MID
72%
20%
8%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
LAM
0 - 1
DEF
17%
26%
57%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
TAL
1 - 0
DEF
28%
27%
45%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
ARM
55%
25%
19%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
ACA
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
DAL
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
ACA
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
PLA
1 - 2
BAR
41%
29%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |