Def. Belgrano vs Almirante Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 1
QUI
47%
29%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
DEF
2 - 0
INS
41%
29%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
DAL
1 - 2
DEF
43%
31%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
SAR
1 - 0
DEF
57%
26%
17%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
DEF
2 - 0
RAF
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
VSC
3 - 0
ALM
27%
28%
45%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
ALM
2 - 1
ACA
49%
28%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
ALM
2 - 0
COM
51%
27%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
JJU
1 - 3
ALM
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ALM
0 - 0
SUA
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |