Decic vs Lovcen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
29.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
GUS
0 - 2
DEC
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
GRB
0 - 0
DEC
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
DEC
0 - 0
MOR
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
RUD
1 - 1
DEC
61%
24%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
DEC
2 - 1
BER
36%
30%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LOV
0 - 0
SUT
36%
30%
35%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
PET
0 - 2
LOV
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LOV
1 - 0
KOM
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
MOG
1 - 3
LOV
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
LOV
2 - 1
ZET
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |