Holland Reserve League Beloften Eredivisie Round 16

De Graafschap U21 vs Willem II U21 analysis

De Graafschap U21 Willem II U21
25 ELO 26
11.3% Tilt 10%
8134º General ELO ranking 9358º
122º Country ELO ranking 130º
ELO win probability
56.5%
De Graafschap U21
20.5%
Draw
23%
Willem II U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
De Graafschap U21
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
23%
Win probability
Willem II U21
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
De Graafschap U21
-40%
+83%
Willem II U21

ELO progression

De Graafschap U21
Willem II U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

De Graafschap U21
De Graafschap U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2014
ALK
Jong AZ
3 - 1
De Graafschap U21
GRA
70%
16%
14%
26 30 4 0
27 Jan. 2014
GRA
De Graafschap U21
3 - 2
Jong Sparta
SPA
64%
18%
18%
26 22 4 0
21 Jan. 2014
RKC
RKC Waalwijk U21
0 - 1
De Graafschap U21
GRA
44%
23%
34%
25 25 0 +1
16 Dec. 2013
GRA
De Graafschap U21
5 - 3
Jong Almere City
ALM
40%
23%
37%
24 28 4 +1
09 Dec. 2013
GRA
De Graafschap U21
1 - 3
NAC Breda U21
NAC
66%
18%
16%
25 21 4 -1

Matches

Willem II U21
Willem II U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2014
SPA
Jong Sparta
3 - 0
Willem II U21
WIL
40%
23%
37%
26 22 4 0
27 Jan. 2014
WIL
Willem II U21
4 - 0
NAC Breda U21
NAC
53%
22%
24%
26 22 4 0
09 Dec. 2013
WIL
Willem II U21
1 - 1
Roda JC U21
ROD
60%
21%
20%
26 21 5 0
02 Dec. 2013
WIL
Willem II U21
2 - 1
Utrecht U23
UTR
56%
22%
23%
25 22 3 +1
25 Nov. 2013
ALK
Jong AZ
1 - 1
Willem II U21
WIL
79%
13%
8%
25 35 10 0