DC United vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
DCU
0 - 0
GAL
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 1
DCU
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
TOR
2 - 0
DCU
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
HOD
4 - 3
DCU
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
SJE
2 - 2
DCU
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
TOL
3 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
TOL
17%
26%
57%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
TOL
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
TOL
3 - 0
PUM
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
JAG
0 - 2
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |