DC United vs New England Revolution analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
KCW
4 - 0
DCU
39%
26%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
KCW
2 - 2
DCU
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 1
DCU
62%
21%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
DCU
1 - 0
COC
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
DCU
0 - 2
CHI
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
GAL
1 - 0
NER
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CFS
2 - 0
NER
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
NER
2 - 1
CFS
44%
26%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
COC
0 - 1
NER
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
NER
0 - 0
CFS
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |