DC United vs New England Revolution analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
TAM
2 - 0
DCU
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1996 |
DCU
1 - 2
RBN
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1996 |
COR
1 - 2
DCU
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
DCU
3 - 0
TAM
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
RBN
2 - 3
DCU
51%
24%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1996 |
NER
1 - 2
TAM
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
DAL
0 - 2
NER
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
NER
2 - 1
DAL
44%
25%
30%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
TAM
3 - 1
NER
63%
20%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
NER
4 - 2
TAM
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |