DC United vs Houston Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
DCU
4 - 1
RBN
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
DCU
1 - 1
MON
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NER
1 - 2
DCU
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
DCU
0 - 0
SES
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
DCU
4 - 1
DAL
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
COC
2 - 2
HOD
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
CFS
1 - 1
HOD
45%
28%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SES
2 - 0
HOD
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SJE
0 - 1
HOD
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
HOD
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |