Uefa Youth League Domestic Route Semi-finals
Global 0-9
Daugavpils U19 vs Sassuolo U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
70.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daugavpils U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
CLI
2 - 1
DAU
37%
22%
41%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
DAU
1 - 0
CLI
36%
22%
43%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
FCM
2 - 0
DAU
71%
17%
13%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
DAU
0 - 4
FCM
17%
18%
65%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sassuolo U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
SAS
2 - 0
FIO
50%
23%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SAS
3 - 1
SAS
93%
6%
1%
|
39 | 85 | 46 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SAS
4 - 0
REA
21%
20%
59%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
GEN
2 - 4
SAS
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SAS
3 - 1
FIO
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |