Darwen FC vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darwen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1892 |
GRI
0 - 1
DAR
30%
22%
48%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1892 |
DAR
2 - 3
BUR
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 1892 |
WAL
1 - 2
DAR
26%
23%
51%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 1892 |
DAR
1 - 7
SUN
25%
23%
53%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1892 |
PNE
4 - 0
DAR
72%
16%
12%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1892 |
WAL
2 - 4
MAC
21%
23%
57%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1892 |
WAL
1 - 3
BIR
24%
24%
53%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 1892 |
WAL
1 - 2
DAR
26%
23%
51%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |