Darwen FC vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
52.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darwen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1892 |
PNE
4 - 0
DAR
72%
16%
12%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1892 |
DAR
1 - 1
WBA
30%
23%
47%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1892 |
WBA
12 - 0
DAR
69%
17%
14%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1892 |
DAR
2 - 6
BUR
26%
22%
52%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1892 |
DAR
1 - 4
WOL
25%
22%
53%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1892 |
SUN
6 - 1
BBU
57%
21%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1892 |
NOT
1 - 0
SUN
36%
24%
40%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1892 |
SUN
4 - 1
STO
71%
16%
13%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1892 |
SUN
2 - 1
ASV
57%
21%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1892 |
DER
0 - 1
SUN
34%
23%
43%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |