Danubio vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FEN
1 - 2
DAN
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MWA
3 - 2
DAN
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
DAN
1 - 1
DEF
44%
26%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
DAN
3 - 1
CSM
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 3
DAN
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 1
RAC
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 1
RAC
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
RAC
3 - 1
SUD
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
RAC
0 - 0
JUV
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LFC
2 - 2
RAC
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |