Danubio vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
50.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
BOS
2 - 0
DAN
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
DAN
1 - 1
CEL
43%
29%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
DAN
2 - 1
NAC
22%
28%
50%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 2
DAN
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
DAN
1 - 2
DEF
38%
29%
33%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
RIV
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 1
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
DAN
2 - 1
NAC
22%
28%
50%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
CSC
70%
20%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
BRA
30%
25%
44%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |