Danubio vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
44%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MWA
1 - 3
DAN
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
PEÑ
0 - 3
DAN
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 0
DAN
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
DAN
0 - 0
JUV
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 2
DAN
54%
24%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 0
JUV
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 0
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 0
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
BOC
1 - 1
NAC
58%
23%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |