Danubio vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
40%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
DAN
1 - 1
DEF
27%
28%
45%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
LUZ
3 - 1
DAN
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 1
DAN
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
DAN
0 - 2
MWA
41%
29%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FEN
2 - 1
DAN
32%
30%
38%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 2
SPT
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 3
GUA
27%
28%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
LQE
3 - 0
GUA
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
EME
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |