Danubio vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
DAN
4 - 2
CEN
67%
20%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
DAN
3 - 3
JUN
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
DAN
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
DAN
2 - 0
RAC
65%
21%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
TAC
0 - 3
DAN
28%
27%
46%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
CER
2 - 1
LFC
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
CER
2 - 4
BVS
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ETS
0 - 2
CER
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
CER
1 - 1
MWA
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
FEN
4 - 0
CER
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |