Damaiense vs Lusitânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
47.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Damaiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
DAM
1 - 0
ADC
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BOB
1 - 1
DAM
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
DAM
1 - 2
AGU
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
DAM
13%
19%
68%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
DAM
0 - 0
OLI
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
REA
3 - 0
LUS
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CON
0 - 0
LUS
23%
20%
57%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
LUS
1 - 2
AMO
37%
24%
40%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
UNM
3 - 1
LUS
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
OMO
3 - 0
LUS
8%
13%
79%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | -2 |