League One round 4

Dalian Yingbo vs Jiangxi Dingnan United analysis

Dalian Yingbo Jiangxi Dingnan United
45 ELO 54
-13% Tilt -8.6%
2876º General ELO ranking 4386º
23º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
23.3%
Dalian Yingbo
24.1%
Draw
52.6%
Jiangxi Dingnan United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
Dalian Yingbo
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
52.6%
Win probability
Jiangxi Dingnan United
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dalian Yingbo
+17%
-15%
Jiangxi Dingnan United

Points and table prediction

Dalian Yingbo
Their league position
Jiangxi Dingnan United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
27
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Yunnan Yukun
66
66
100%
Dalian Yingbo
57
57
100%
Guangzhou FC
52
52
100%
Chongqing Tonglianglong
50
50
100%
Liaoning Tieren
50
50
100%
Suzhou Dongwu
48
48
100%
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
48
48
100%
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
47
47
100%
Nanjing City
34
34
100%
Foshan Nanshi
10º
32
32
10º
100%
Shanghai Jiading Huilong
11º
31
31
11º
100%
Yanbian Longding
12º
31
31
12º
100%
Jiangxi Dingnan United
13º
27
27
13º
100%
Qingdao Red Lions
14º
26
26
14º
100%
Wuxi Wugo
15º
22
22
15º
100%
Jiangxi Lushan
16º
19
19
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Dalian Yingbo
Jiangxi Dingnan United
Promotion
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Dalian Yingbo
Jiangxi Dingnan United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dalian Yingbo
Dalian Yingbo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2024
DAL
Dalian Yingbo
1 - 0
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
GFC
24%
27%
49%
43 60 17 0
17 Mar. 2024
SDO
Suzhou Dongwu
0 - 1
Dalian Yingbo
DAL
57%
24%
20%
41 51 10 +2
10 Mar. 2024
QFC
Qingdao Red Lions
0 - 1
Dalian Yingbo
DAL
54%
25%
22%
40 49 9 +1
22 Oct. 2023
DAL
Dalian Yingbo
1 - 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
CHO
26%
24%
49%
38 47 9 +2
15 Oct. 2023
GUA
Guangxi Lanhang
0 - 1
Dalian Yingbo
DAL
43%
22%
35%
37 36 1 +1

Matches

Jiangxi Dingnan United
Jiangxi Dingnan United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2024
YUN
Yunnan Yukun
3 - 0
Jiangxi Dingnan United
ANH
30%
25%
44%
56 48 8 0
16 Mar. 2024
CHO
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 - 1
Jiangxi Dingnan United
ANH
29%
25%
46%
56 47 9 0
09 Mar. 2024
GUA
Guangzhou FC
0 - 1
Jiangxi Dingnan United
ANH
40%
26%
35%
55 53 2 +1
05 Nov. 2023
SJF
Shenzhen Peng City
2 - 0
Jiangxi Dingnan United
ANH
59%
23%
17%
56 65 9 -1
28 Oct. 2023
ANH
Jiangxi Dingnan United
1 - 0
Foshan Nanshi
DUF
54%
24%
23%
55 52 3 +1