Dainava vs Sūduva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
49.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
8º
10º
10º
46
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 74 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 67 |
2º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 58 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 57 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 57 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 50 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 46 |
7º
|
52% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 43 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 25 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 24 |
10º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 54% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 46% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
41.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
58% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dainava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
DAI
1 - 2
FAS
21%
25%
55%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
DAI
0 - 6
ZAL
22%
22%
55%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
DTE
2 - 0
DAI
45%
28%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
DAI
1 - 1
TRA
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
BAN
2 - 1
DAI
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
BAN
0 - 1
SUD
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
VFA
0 - 4
SUD
3%
7%
90%
|
75 | 11 | 64 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SUD
0 - 0
PAN
28%
29%
43%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SUD
4 - 0
HLI
24%
27%
49%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
SUD
1 - 1
FAS
24%
28%
49%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |