K-League Classic Matchday Round 5

Daegu FC vs Incheon United analysis

Daegu FC Incheon United
76 ELO 75
-3.3% Tilt 3.3%
1110º General ELO ranking 535º
18º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
40.8%
Daegu FC
26.7%
Draw
32.5%
Incheon United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
Daegu FC
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32.5%
Win probability
Incheon United
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Daegu FC
-23%
+10%
Incheon United

Points and table prediction

Daegu FC
Their league position
Incheon United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
56
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ulsan HD FC
76
9
100%
Incheon United
56
8
100%
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
57
8
100%
Pohang Steelers
64
6
100%
Gwangju FC
59
5
100%
Daegu FC
53
4
100%
Expected probabilities
Daegu FC
Incheon United
Champion
0% 0%
AFC Champions League Elite
0% 100%
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
0% 0%
AFC Champions League 2
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Daegu FC
Incheon United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Daegu FC
Daegu FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2023
POH
Pohang Steelers
1 - 0
Daegu FC
DAE
43%
26%
32%
76 76 0 0
11 Nov. 2023
DAE
Daegu FC
1 - 1
Gwangju FC
GWA
40%
27%
34%
76 76 0 0
29 Oct. 2023
ULS
Ulsan HD FC
2 - 0
Daegu FC
DAE
41%
26%
33%
76 76 0 0
21 Oct. 2023
DAE
Daegu FC
1 - 2
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
JEO
41%
27%
33%
76 76 0 0
08 Oct. 2023
DAE
Daegu FC
2 - 2
Suwon FC
SUW
45%
26%
29%
76 73 3 0

Matches

Incheon United
Incheon United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Nov. 2023
INC
Incheon United
2 - 1
Yokohama F. Marinos
YFM
25%
24%
50%
76 82 6 0
24 Nov. 2023
INC
Incheon United
3 - 1
Ulsan HD FC
ULS
37%
28%
35%
76 76 0 0
12 Nov. 2023
INC
Incheon United
1 - 1
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
JEO
37%
28%
35%
76 76 0 0
07 Nov. 2023
SHA
Shandong Taishan
3 - 1
Incheon United
INC
69%
18%
13%
75 83 8 +1
01 Nov. 2023
JEO
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
3 - 1
Incheon United
INC
44%
25%
31%
76 76 0 -1