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Torneo Transición Primera B Chile. Matchday 28

D. Copiapo vs Puerto Montt analysis

D. Copiapo Puerto Montt
45 ELO 54
-4% Tilt 11%
2310º General ELO ranking 943º
33º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
35%
D. Copiapo
27.3%
Draw
37.6%
Puerto Montt

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
D. Copiapo
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.6%
Win probability
Puerto Montt
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
D. Copiapo
-6%
+1%
Puerto Montt

Points and table prediction

D. Copiapo
Their league position
Puerto Montt
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
14º
37
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Santiago Wanderers
46
52
99%
La Serena
43
48
45%
Ñublense
42
47
21%
Barnechea
40
43
9%
Cobreloa
39
46
8%
CD Melipilla
39
45
12%
Unión San Felipe
39
43
12%
Deportes Temuco
38
43
13%
D. Copiapo
38
43
11%
Puerto Montt
10º
37
41
10º
17%
Deportes Santa Cruz
11º
37
40
11º
22%
Santiago Morning
12º
34
39
12º
36%
Rangers Talca
13º
28
31
14º
32%
San Luis de Quillota
14º
27
32
13º
38%
Magallanes
15º
25
29
15º
45%
Deportes Valdivia
16º
19
24
16º
99%
Expected probabilities
D. Copiapo
Puerto Montt
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
80% 67%
Mid-table
20% 33%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Puerto Montt
PUE
D. Copiapo
DCO
Deportes Santa Cruz
DSC
San Luis de Quillota
SAN
Ñublense
NUB
Barnechea
BAR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

D. Copiapo
D. Copiapo
1%
X%
2%
ELO DCO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2019
DCO
D. Copiapo
0 - 0
San Luis de Quillota
SAN
39%
28%
34%
788 1024 -236 +1
06 Oct. 2019
DCO
D. Copiapo
1 - 0
Santiago Morning
SAN
47%
27%
26%
784 718 66 +4
27 Sep. 2019
DLS
La Serena
0 - 0
D. Copiapo
DCO
51%
25%
24%
783 1031 248 +1
14 Sep. 2019
USF
Unión San Felipe
0 - 0
D. Copiapo
DCO
53%
25%
22%
782 994 212 +1
08 Sep. 2019
DCO
D. Copiapo
1 - 0
Rangers Talca
CSD
49%
26%
25%
778 702 76 +4

Matches

Puerto Montt
Puerto Montt
1%
X%
2%
ELO PUE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2019
NUB
Ñublense
2 - 0
Puerto Montt
PUE
33%
27%
39%
1106 658 -448 -8
12 Oct. 2019
PUE
Puerto Montt
1 - 3
CD Melipilla
CDM
58%
24%
18%
1114 701 413 -9
06 Oct. 2019
DSC
Deportes Santa Cruz
2 - 0
Puerto Montt
PUE
35%
27%
38%
1124 497 -627 -9
28 Sep. 2019
PUE
Puerto Montt
1 - 1
Magallanes
MAG
56%
25%
20%
1125 847 278 -1
15 Sep. 2019
DEP
Deportes Temuco
0 - 1
Puerto Montt
PUE
56%
25%
20%
1119 1386 267 +6