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Wales Second Division. Matchday 12

Cwmbran Celtic vs Goytre United analysis

Cwmbran Celtic Goytre United
13 ELO 24
110% Tilt 9%
9270º General ELO ranking 6917º
79º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
69.6%
Cwmbran Celtic
16.1%
Draw
14.3%
Goytre United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
Cwmbran Celtic
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
14.3%
Win probability
Goytre United
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cwmbran Celtic
+60%
-25%
Goytre United

Points and table prediction

Cwmbran Celtic
Their league position
Goytre United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
13º
39
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Barry Town
66
66
100%
Penybont
61
61
100%
Goytre AFC
58
58
100%
Haverfordwest County AFC
54
54
100%
Caerau Ely
48
48
100%
Cwmbran Celtic
45
45
100%
Afan Lido
44
44
100%
Undy Athletic
41
41
100%
Taffs Well
40
40
100%
Goytre United
10º
39
39
10º
100%
Cambrian & Clydach
11º
37
37
11º
100%
Ton Pentre
12º
36
36
12º
100%
Port Talbot Town
13º
35
35
13º
100%
Monmouth Town FC
14º
33
33
14º
100%
Caldicot Town
15º
23
23
15º
100%
Risca United
16º
20
20
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Cwmbran Celtic
Goytre United
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Goytre United
GOY
Cwmbran Celtic
CWM
Ton Pentre
TON
Caldicot Town
CAL
Risca United
RIS
Connah's Quay
CON
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cwmbran Celtic
Cwmbran Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO CWM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2016
LID
Afan Lido
5 - 0
Cwmbran Celtic
CWM
47%
27%
26%
186 253 67 -2
29 Oct. 2016
GOY
Goytre AFC
2 - 1
Cwmbran Celtic
CWM
47%
27%
26%
187 259 72 -1
22 Oct. 2016
CWM
Cwmbran Celtic
0 - 3
Haverfordwest County AFC
HAV
41%
28%
31%
189 318 -129 -2
15 Oct. 2016
CWM
Cwmbran Celtic
7 - 1
Monmouth Town FC
MON
41%
28%
30%
186 254 -68 +3
05 Apr. 2017
CWM
Cwmbran Celtic
1 - 5
Penybont
PEN
41%
28%
30%
186 247 -61 0

Matches

Goytre United
Goytre United
1%
X%
2%
ELO GOY ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Nov. 2016
CAL
Caldicot Town
1 - 0
Goytre United
GOY
41%
28%
31%
305 179 -126 -1
05 Nov. 2016
TRE
Trefelin
0 - 1
Goytre United
GOY
44%
27%
29%
304 207 -97 +3
21 Oct. 2016
LID
Afan Lido
1 - 1
Goytre United
GOY
46%
27%
27%
302 250 -52 0
14 Oct. 2016
GOY
Goytre United
0 - 0
Taffs Well
TAF
47%
27%
26%
302 204 98 0
07 Oct. 2016
HAV
Haverfordwest County AFC
1 - 1
Goytre United
GOY
47%
27%
26%
302 321 19 0