Curzon Ashton vs Salford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
52.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ALT
2 - 4
CUR
43%
26%
32%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CUR
1 - 1
AFC
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
CUR
1 - 2
DAR
23%
23%
54%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 1
CUR
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
4 - 4
CUR
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Salford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SAL
3 - 2
GAI
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
FYL
3 - 3
SAL
48%
24%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NUN
0 - 1
SAL
25%
26%
49%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
UNM
64%
20%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
STA
0 - 4
SAL
26%
24%
51%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |