Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
CUR
1 - 1
KID
22%
25%
53%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
HER
2 - 2
CUR
49%
26%
25%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CUR
1 - 2
ALF
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CUR
2 - 1
CHE
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
CUR
0 - 1
GAT
26%
25%
49%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
ALF
1 - 1
GLO
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CUR
1 - 2
ALF
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
LEA
0 - 3
ALF
52%
24%
25%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 0
ALF
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ALF
1 - 4
KID
33%
26%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |