Curicó Unido vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
DSC
0 - 2
CUR
39%
24%
37%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
NUB
3 - 2
CUR
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CUR
0 - 2
ANT
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
CUR
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
CUR
2 - 2
SWA
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
UCO
2 - 3
NUB
20%
23%
57%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
UCO
2 - 2
BAR
28%
26%
46%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
UCO
2 - 1
CSD
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 0
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
USF
1 - 0
UCO
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |