Curicó Unido vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CUR
2 - 0
COB
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CUR
3 - 2
UCO
24%
28%
49%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
CUR
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CSL
1 - 0
CUR
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CUR
2 - 1
CSD
35%
29%
36%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
UCO
3 - 1
CSL
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
COB
2 - 0
UCO
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
IQU
1 - 1
UCO
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
UCO
0 - 0
DLS
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
PAL
4 - 2
UCO
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |