Curicó Unido vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
47.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
PUE
4 - 1
CUR
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CUR
2 - 1
UNI
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
CUR
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CUR
1 - 1
NTA
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CUR
0 - 3
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 3
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
NUB
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
EVE
3 - 2
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
SAN
73%
17%
11%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |