Cumbayá vs América Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
41.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cumbayá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
CFC
68%
19%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 1
PQU
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
CFC
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 1
GUA
33%
30%
37%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
CFC
0 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
AME
2 - 1
LDU
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
POR
0 - 0
AME
32%
30%
38%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
PQU
1 - 1
AME
28%
28%
44%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
AME
1 - 1
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
FAM
1 - 1
AME
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |