CD Guarnizo vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+96%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Guarnizo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CUL
1 - 1
MAR
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
CUL
30%
24%
47%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CUL
1 - 1
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
COL
0 - 3
CUL
39%
25%
36%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CUL
3 - 0
TEX
53%
23%
25%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAS
37%
24%
39%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
COL
35%
25%
41%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TEX
1 - 3
CAS
41%
24%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 0
NOJ
41%
25%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |