1a B Ap. Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Cúcuta Deportivo vs Llaneros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cúcuta Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
CUC
2 - 2
BOG
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
JAG
2 - 0
CUC
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
CUC
1 - 1
TFC
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BUC
0 - 1
CUC
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 2
CUC
28%
27%
46%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
LLA
1 - 1
BAR
61%
24%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
COR
1 - 2
LLA
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
LLA
2 - 0
PER
49%
27%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
AME
1 - 1
LLA
59%
25%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
LLA
3 - 0
UNI
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |