Liniers vs Luján analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liniers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 2
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
LIN
0 - 1
CAM
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 0
LAM
43%
25%
31%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CCO
2 - 0
LIN
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 3
BER
62%
22%
17%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2014 |
LUJ
0 - 0
CCO
47%
27%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2014 |
BER
1 - 0
LUJ
42%
28%
30%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
LUJ
0 - 1
ESP
32%
27%
41%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ARM
0 - 1
LUJ
61%
24%
16%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
LUJ
1 - 1
DOC
32%
27%
41%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |