Liniers vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liniers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
SBA
0 - 1
LIN
40%
28%
32%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LIN
2 - 2
PUE
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
DPA
0 - 3
LIN
19%
26%
55%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
LIN
3 - 0
JUU
67%
21%
13%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MUÑ
0 - 1
LIN
18%
26%
57%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 2
YUP
45%
27%
28%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 2
LUG
71%
18%
11%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SBA
3 - 0
LUG
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
LUG
3 - 2
PUE
22%
25%
53%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
DPA
0 - 1
LUG
48%
25%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |