Liga III round 9

CSM FC Vaslui vs FC Bacău analysis

CSM FC Vaslui FC Bacău
27 ELO 39
7.1% Tilt -4.4%
6036º General ELO ranking 49969º
39º Country ELO ranking 699º
ELO win probability
34.2%
CSM FC Vaslui
22.1%
Draw
43.7%
FC Bacău

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
CSM FC Vaslui
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
43.7%
Win probability
FC Bacău
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CSM FC Vaslui
+77%
+115%
FC Bacău

Points and table prediction

CSM FC Vaslui
Their league position
FC Bacău
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
35
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC Bacău
35
41
65%
Ştiinţa Miroslava
33
39
62.5%
CSM FC Vaslui
28
34
71.5%
CSM Bacău
27
31
70%
Bucovina Rădăuţi
22
26
66%
Rapid Brodoc
21
25
71%
Şomuz Fălticeni
14
18
82%
USV Iaşi
11
14
32.5%
Ceahlăul II
10º
8
12
29%
Soimii Gura Humorului
10
11
10º
62%
Expected probabilities
CSM FC Vaslui
FC Bacău
Promotion play-offs
98% 100%
Relegation play-offs
2% 0%

ELO progression

CSM FC Vaslui
FC Bacău
Şomuz Fălticeni
CSM Bacău
USV Iaşi
Soimii Gura Humorului
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CSM FC Vaslui
CSM FC Vaslui
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2024
ACS
Şomuz Fălticeni
1 - 3
CSM FC Vaslui
VAS
48%
23%
29%
27 31 4 0
12 Oct. 2024
VAS
CSM FC Vaslui
4 - 2
USV Iaşi
USV
85%
10%
5%
27 9 18 0
05 Oct. 2024
RAP
Rapid Brodoc
1 - 0
CSM FC Vaslui
VAS
29%
22%
50%
27 19 8 0
28 Sep. 2024
CSM
CSM Bacău
1 - 0
CSM FC Vaslui
VAS
49%
23%
28%
28 34 6 -1
21 Sep. 2024
VAS
CSM FC Vaslui
3 - 2
Soimii Gura Humorului
SGH
87%
9%
5%
28 7 21 0

Matches

FC Bacău
FC Bacău
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Oct. 2024
ACS
FC Bacău
3 - 0
CSM Bacău
CSM
51%
22%
27%
37 36 1 0
12 Oct. 2024
SGH
Soimii Gura Humorului
1 - 1
FC Bacău
ACS
13%
18%
70%
37 9 28 0
04 Oct. 2024
ACS
FC Bacău
4 - 0
Bucovina Rădăuţi
BUC
50%
22%
28%
36 34 2 +1
28 Sep. 2024
TII
Ştiinţa Miroslava
4 - 2
FC Bacău
ACS
43%
23%
35%
37 34 3 -1
20 Sep. 2024
ACS
FC Bacău
2 - 1
Ceahlăul II
CEA
66%
18%
16%
37 25 12 0