CSM Adjud vs Aerostar Bacău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
64.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1867%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
8º
7º
34
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 37 |
3º
|
80% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
8º
|
91.5% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
91.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSM Adjud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
RAM
0 - 2
CSA
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CSA
2 - 2
TSE
19%
21%
61%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
AUB
3 - 1
CSA
82%
12%
7%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
DUB
1 - 1
CSA
75%
14%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CSA
3 - 0
AVC
16%
18%
66%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Aerostar Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
AER
4 - 3
AVC
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
VOI
0 - 1
AER
15%
18%
67%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
AER
1 - 2
SPO
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
SSG
3 - 0
AER
26%
22%
52%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
AER
1 - 2
DUB
77%
15%
9%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |