CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
CSK
1 - 1
LUD
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
BER
1 - 0
CSK
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
CSK
4 - 0
BVR
66%
19%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CSK
1 - 0
ETA
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CSK
0 - 0
LPL
45%
25%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arda Kardzhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
ARK
0 - 0
SSO
52%
24%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ARK
4 - 1
SOZ
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ARK
0 - 2
LPL
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
CSK
0 - 1
ARK
51%
23%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
LUD
1 - 0
ARK
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |