CSKA 1948 Sofia III vs Rilski Sportist analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
12º
2º
36
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
39 | 25 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 24 |
2º
|
61% | |
|
1º
|
41 | 21 |
3º
|
76% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 19 |
4º
|
56% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 19 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 18 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 15 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 14 |
9º
|
38% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 13 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 12 |
11º
|
81% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 37% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 63% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA 1948 Sofia III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
OBO
0 - 1
SOF
52%
21%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
LSO
2 - 2
SOF
62%
19%
20%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PIR
0 - 1
SOF
31%
23%
46%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GRV
1 - 2
SOF
22%
21%
57%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
SOF
3 - 1
NAD
69%
17%
15%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rilski Sportist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2023 |
SSO
4 - 1
RIL
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
RIL
1 - 2
BOT
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
LER
0 - 0
RIL
34%
23%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
RIL
1 - 3
PIR
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
RIL
2 - 1
SSO
35%
22%
44%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |