CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
4º
4º
4º
54
5º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
84 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
85 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
64 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA 1948 Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CSK
1 - 1
CSK
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
CSK
2 - 2
LUD
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
CSK
1 - 3
LUD
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
CVA
1 - 1
CSK
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CSK
2 - 2
LSO
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
LPL
2 - 1
CVA
46%
28%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CSK
1 - 0
LPL
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
LPL
0 - 3
LSO
45%
28%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 0
LPL
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
LPL
1 - 0
LSO
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |