Rayo Santa Cruz vs EMD Santillana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
VEL
2 - 0
RSC
66%
19%
15%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
RSC
3 - 0
ARE
39%
23%
38%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
RSC
71%
17%
12%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
RSC
1 - 3
VIM
62%
20%
18%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
RSC
1 - 2
SEL
37%
24%
39%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
EMD Santillana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 1
BAR
21%
22%
57%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VIM
2 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 2
VEL
18%
22%
60%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SEL
1 - 0
SAN
57%
23%
21%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 3
MON
35%
23%
42%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |