Rangers Talca vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rangers Talca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CSD
0 - 0
CUR
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
COL
3 - 0
CSD
65%
21%
15%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
CSL
2 - 0
CSD
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CSD
0 - 2
EVE
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
CSD
2 - 0
OHI
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 0
PAL
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2009 |
ACS
2 - 1
UCO
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
OHI
0 - 2
UCO
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 3
COL
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |