Primera A 1 Phase . Jor. 20

Macará vs Manta analysis

Macará Manta
66 ELO 71
3.2% Tilt -3.4%
602º General ELO ranking 1044º
12º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
39.7%
Macará
27.4%
Draw
32.9%
Manta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
Macará
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.9%
Win probability
Manta
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Macará
-6%
-9%
Manta

ELO progression

Macará
Manta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Macará
Macará
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jun. 2013
LOJ
LDU Loja
0 - 0
Macará
MAC
59%
23%
18%
65 71 6 0
25 May. 2013
MAC
Macará
1 - 5
Independiente del Valle
IVT
34%
27%
39%
66 74 8 -1
19 May. 2013
QUI
Dep. Quito
0 - 0
Macará
MAC
71%
19%
11%
66 80 14 0
12 May. 2013
MAC
Macará
0 - 0
Barcelona SC
BSC
28%
28%
45%
66 80 14 0
08 May. 2013
DEP
Deportivo Quevedo
2 - 1
Macará
MAC
46%
26%
28%
66 65 1 0

Matches

Manta
Manta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jun. 2013
MAN
Manta
1 - 2
CS Emelec
EME
33%
28%
39%
72 78 6 0
15 Jun. 2013
MAN
Manta
2 - 2
Universidad Católica
UCE
35%
27%
38%
72 74 2 0
26 May. 2013
CUE
Deportivo Cuenca
0 - 2
Manta
MAN
49%
27%
24%
71 74 3 +1
19 May. 2013
MAN
Manta
1 - 1
Liga de Quito
LIG
34%
30%
36%
71 78 7 0
12 May. 2013
NAC
CD El Nacional
2 - 1
Manta
MAN
52%
25%
23%
72 71 1 -1
X