Macará vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 1
MAC
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
BSC
4 - 1
MAC
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
TEC
0 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 1
OLM
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAC
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2012 |
IVT
0 - 2
BSC
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
IVT
3 - 0
OLM
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 0
IVT
28%
28%
44%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
IVT
0 - 0
QUI
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
EME
1 - 1
IVT
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |