Macará vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
IVT
1 - 0
MAC
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BSC
5 - 3
MAC
57%
25%
19%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MAC
3 - 0
MUS
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CUE
1 - 1
MAC
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
MUS
2 - 1
OCT
40%
24%
36%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 2
LIG
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
UCE
3 - 0
OCT
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
OCT
4 - 1
IVT
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DEL
3 - 1
OCT
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |