Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
IND
2 - 1
IVT
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
AME
1 - 1
IVT
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
BSC
4 - 1
IVT
47%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
IVT
2 - 2
RIV
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
IVT
2 - 0
CFC
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
MUS
1 - 2
AUC
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 0
MUS
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
MUS
1 - 0
DEL
36%
26%
39%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
MUS
5 - 1
BSC
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
CUE
3 - 1
MUS
36%
28%
37%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |