Copa Libertadores Grupo B round 3

Independiente del Valle vs River Plate analysis

Independiente del Valle River Plate
79 ELO 84
1.1% Tilt -9.7%
650º General ELO ranking 249º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
40.1%
Independiente del Valle
25.9%
Draw
34%
River Plate

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
Independiente del Valle
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34%
Win probability
River Plate
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Independiente del Valle
+12%
+12%
River Plate

ELO progression

Independiente del Valle
River Plate
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2025
IVT
Independiente del Valle
2 - 0
Manta
MAN
48%
26%
26%
79 77 2 0
14 Apr. 2025
NAC
CD El Nacional
1 - 3
Independiente del Valle
IVT
44%
27%
29%
79 78 1 0
09 Apr. 2025
IVT
Independiente del Valle
1 - 0
Universitario Deportes
UNI
57%
24%
20%
80 78 2 -1
06 Apr. 2025
IVT
Independiente del Valle
4 - 0
Deportivo Cuenca
CUE
49%
27%
25%
79 78 1 +1
02 Apr. 2025
BSC
Barcelona SC
1 - 0
Independiente del Valle
IVT
51%
24%
25%
79 79 0 0

Matches

River Plate
River Plate
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2025
GLP
Gimnasia La Plata
0 - 3
River Plate
RIV
42%
27%
31%
84 84 0 0
14 Apr. 2025
RIV
River Plate
1 - 1
Talleres Córdoba
TAL
48%
26%
26%
84 84 0 0
09 Apr. 2025
RIV
River Plate
0 - 0
Barcelona SC
BSC
58%
22%
20%
84 79 5 0
06 Apr. 2025
SAR
Sarmiento
1 - 1
River Plate
RIV
39%
28%
33%
84 84 0 0
03 Apr. 2025
UNI
Universitario Deportes
0 - 1
River Plate
RIV
36%
26%
37%
84 78 6 0