Conmebol Sudamericana . Last 16
Global 2-1
Independiente del Valle vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2022 |
OCT
1 - 1
IVT
37%
24%
38%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
IVT
3 - 0
AMF
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
IVT
0 - 1
MUS
62%
21%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
ATM
3 - 1
IVT
80%
13%
7%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
TEC
2 - 3
IVT
27%
26%
47%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
RIV
2 - 1
LAN
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
LAN
1 - 0
COL
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
ATT
2 - 1
LAN
32%
25%
42%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
LAN
1 - 1
DYJ
39%
25%
37%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
CEN
0 - 0
LAN
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |