CSA vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
48.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 0
CSA
56%
26%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CSA
1 - 2
BAH
26%
28%
45%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
CRZ
0 - 1
CSA
70%
21%
9%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
CSA
0 - 1
FLU
19%
26%
55%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 0
CSA
64%
22%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 1
SCI
39%
29%
32%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 0
SAO
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 0
VAS
50%
27%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CEA
1 - 1
SAO
34%
30%
36%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |